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Why Mohammed Salah can win the Golden Boot for the 22/23 season

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Mohamed Salah has won the Premier League Golden Boot on three previous occasions, but he’s had to share the honours on the last two of those (2018-19 and 2021-22). Only in his first season at Liverpool in 2017-18 has he won the award outright.

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Since joining Liverpool in 2017-18, Salah has scored the most Premier League goals (118) and attempted the most shots of any Premier League player (678).

Averaged out, Salah’s contributed just under 24 goals a Premier League season as a Liverpool player. That would have been enough to have won the Golden Boot in each of the last four campaigns.

Premier League Top Scorer 2022-23 Salah

In the Premier League last season, Salah had the highest expected goals per 90 average (0.77), with only team-mate Diogo Jota (0.64) having a higher average than him (0.62) from non-penalty shots. Salah also led the league rankings for touches in the opposition box per 90 (11) and shots per 90 (4.5). Each of these metrics are vital for a player looking to win the Golden Boot.

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Salah’s 23 goals in the Premier League last season came despite playing 2,963 of Liverpool’s 3,672 minutes (including injury time across all games) – that’s 80% of possible minutes on pitch. He missed two matches at the AFCON last season, and that may have been the difference between sharing the honour and taking it outright.

Whilst it’s true that Salah has lost team-mate Sadio Mané to Bayern Munich – no player has created more chances (87) or assisted more goals (18) for Salah in the Premier League than he has – the forward now has new potential providers in the shape of Fabio Carvalho and Darwin Núñez.

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A solid bet for Premier League top scorer 2022-23.

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Source
theanalyst
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